Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 13.622206 15.610531 17.734891 20.167479 22.869752 25.773276 29.122608
2025-07-27 10.848471 13.529220 16.589903 20.319828 24.718001 29.713975 35.791577
2025-08-03 8.823884 11.764924 15.301026 19.819565 25.389649 31.978608 40.304598
2025-08-10 7.413261 10.475772 14.325373 19.445351 25.993635 34.000196 44.431476
2025-08-17 6.308359 9.403732 13.455278 19.040326 26.419120 35.704323 48.123241
2025-08-24 5.437827 8.522756 12.715283 18.687268 26.811966 37.301400 51.659831
2025-08-31 4.649816 7.655425 11.892262 18.120164 26.831560 38.351915 54.464167
2025-09-07 4.186108 7.200396 11.588627 18.218020 27.715123 40.534122 58.791015
2025-09-14 3.766101 6.760600 11.258077 18.232625 28.452531 42.514351 62.882439
2025-09-21 3.447930 6.442738 11.073245 18.429302 29.432781 44.837859 67.492908
2025-09-28 3.121522 6.074108 10.774251 18.421661 30.095158 46.717339 71.524502
2025-10-05 2.934620 5.918267 10.790510 18.883991 31.455456 49.616755 77.061198
2025-10-12 2.733130 5.720411 10.728525 19.225748 32.659345 52.350394 82.480526
2025-10-19 2.513713 5.466667 10.552349 19.368568 33.556250 54.657182 87.348121
2025-10-26 2.211020 5.023771 10.018236 18.887719 33.446133 55.449188 90.006230
2025-11-02 1.962915 4.655157 9.579196 18.528142 33.495491 56.462053 92.996978
2025-11-09 1.738531 4.305886 9.143208 18.139013 33.465939 57.335830 95.783911
2025-11-16 1.545857 3.997430 8.753891 17.799859 33.490691 58.278062 98.682091
2025-11-23 1.349135 3.654446 8.269011 17.255183 33.137020 58.600435 100.620292
2025-11-30 1.246666 3.506416 8.144811 17.349160 33.859180 60.639426 105.259364
2025-12-07 1.144881 3.347022 7.984296 17.363186 34.437919 62.457383 109.590166
2025-12-14 1.069582 3.240608 7.920908 17.552080 35.322940 64.790522 114.785084
2025-12-21 0.982165 3.093281 7.760802 17.544741 35.856136 66.556027 119.111658